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Australian property market sees a surge in profitability

Even though transaction volumes increased at the end of 2023, the level of loss-making sales dropped to just 5500, according to the latest figures.

CoreLogicโ€™s Pain & Gain report for the December quarter analysed about 90,000 sales and showed 94 per cent recorded a nominal gain.

The median gross profit also rose to $310,000 .

CoreLogic Head of Research Eliza Owen said the upward trajectory aligned with the sustained growth in home values observed throughout the year.

Loss-making resales dropped to 6 per cent of resales in the three months to December, to a median of $40,000, while the volume of loss-making sales also fell by 5.1 per cent on the previous quarter.

The total nominal profit from resales in the December quarter reached $29.9 billion, up from $28.7 billion in the previous quarter.

โ€œThe improvement in the key metrics of this report really highlight the improving profitability in the housing market since the recovery trend began in early 2023,โ€ Ms Owen said.

โ€œWe’ve observed a decline in the number of loss-making sales, which fell to just 5,500 during the December quarter, even as overall transaction volumes increased.

โ€œThe broad-based increase in profitability and value across the Australian housing market helps to shore up financial stability at a time of stark increases in mortgage costs for some households.โ€

The report revealed a slight easing in short-term, loss-making resale conditions.ย 

The portion of resales within a two-year hold period reduced from 7.9 per cent in the September quarter to 7.5 per cent.ย 

However, there was an uptick of resales with a hold period of between two and four years, from 13.3 per cent in the September quarter to 14 per cent.

โ€œThis change reflects homes that were bought in 2020 and 2021, and it turned out to be the most popular timeframe for reselling properties in the quarter.ย 

โ€œWhile some of these sales might have been influenced by a rise in mortgage rates, it’s interesting to note that only 3.7 per cent of homes sold during this timeframe ended up making a nominal loss,โ€ Ms Owen said.

Source: CoreLogic

Regional market performance

Regional markets outperformed capital cities in terms of profitability, with 95.5 per cent of resales in regional Australia making a nominal gain, compared to 93.2 per cent in the combined capitals.ย 

The increase in profitability was also more rapid across regional markets, indicating a strengthening trend outside major urban centres.

โ€œDue to the lingering value add of the COVID-boom, regional markets are looking more profitable than capital cities,โ€ Ms Owen said.

โ€œRegional markets typically have lower property prices and a different lifestyle appeal, and are outperforming capital cities in terms of profitability potentially due to sustained demand, limited housing supply, and a more favourable cost of living environment.โ€

Most profitable markets

Adelaide remained the most profitable capital city market for the fifth consecutive quarter, with more than 98 per cent of resales making a nominal gain in the three months to December.ย 

The Perth market also witnessed significant improvement in line with its high growth in home values, with the rate of loss-making sales reducing to 8.4 per cent, marking its most profitable period since July 2015.

Houses and units

Houses continued to deliver higher rates of profit-making sales compared to units, with 97per cent of house resales making a nominal gain, compared to 88.2 per cent of units.

Ms Owen said the gap in profitability between houses and units narrowed slightly, indicating a potential shift in market dynamics including affordability along with supply constraints.

โ€œUnderlying land value, scarcity factor and desire for more space through the pandemic has led to a substantially larger rise in house values relative to unit values over the past four years,โ€ she said.

โ€œThe relatively large premium on house values has put them out of reach for many, particularly first home buyers and lower-income households.ย 

โ€œAs units become increasingly attractive to buyers, the price gap between detached housing and medium to high density options will close and profitability of units will improve.โ€

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Kylie Dulhunty

Former Elite Agent Editor Kylie Dulhunty is a freelance content producer for the Elite Agent audience, leveraging her extensive copywriting and real estate expertise.