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Annual rental growth lowest on record, Core Logic

2015 was a lacklustre year for rental growth in Australia withย rents increasing by just 0.3% in 2015; not exactly the newsย investors are looking to read about but good news for thoseย looking to rent according to CoreLogic RP Data research analystย Cameron Kusher.

โ€œWeโ€™ve never seen rental growth as sluggish as it is at theย moment. Furthermore, weโ€™re expecting to see more of theย same over the coming months due to increases in the supply ofย new housing, rental stock and a further slowdown in migrationย rates.

โ€œThe only cities to see an increase in weekly rental rates wereย Sydney with an increase of 1.9%, Melbourne (2.2%), Hobartย (0.6%) and Canberra (1.9%) while rates fell in Brisbane by (-ย 0.3%), Adelaide (-0.2%), Perth (-8.0%) and Darwin (-13.3%),โ€ Mrย Kusher said.

Market Snapshot:

  • Combined capital city rental rates are $486/week for houses and $464/week for units
  • Dwelling rental rates across the combined capitalย cities are recorded at $483 per week and they haveย increased by just 0.3% over the past 12 months whichย is a record low rate of annual growth (result based onย records back to December 1996).

A comparison between December 2015 and December 2014ย shows in 2014 annual rental growth was slowing but wasย tracking at a much higher 1.8% which highlights just how muchย the rental market eased throughout 2015.

Mr Kusher said, โ€œThe construction boom across the capitalย cities, coupled with slowing population growth, low mortgageย rates and the recent heightened level of activity from investorsย are the major contributing factors to the slowing rental growthย in 2015.โ€

โ€œAlthough Sydney and Melbourne saw the largest ramp up inย new housing supply, both cities still recorded rental increasesย over the year, although rental growth is slowing relative to 12ย months earlier.โ€

โ€œIt is clear that the increase in investment stock continues toย provide landlords with little scope to lift rental rates while theย low mortgage rate environment provides little incentive toย push yields higher.โ€

โ€œWe envisage that growth in rental rates is likely to remainย weak or potentially slow even further over the coming months.

The good news for those looking to rent is the possibility thatย rental rates will fall even further over the coming year.โ€

โ€œWhile the news for renters will be welcomed, investors mayย be facing weaker capital gains coupled with little in the way ofย rental growth or yield.โ€

โ€œThe large pipeline of residential construction activity andย recent high levels of investment demand means that rentersย are likely to continue to have plenty of choice,โ€ Mr Kusher said.

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