Buyer demand fell but buyers' agents' revenue didn't budge

The headline paradox: nearly half of Australia’s buyers’ agents (48%) say buyer demand has significantly decreased over the past 12 months.

Yet that same cohort isn’t reporting collapsing revenue. That gap between sentiment and income is the real story in this year’s Index, and it says more about where the profession is heading than any single demand number could on its own.

Demand is down. Revenue isn’t following it.

The 2026 Australian Buyers Agent Index surveyed agents nationally (44% Queensland, 32% NSW, 20% Victoria) across 50 questions covering fees, client behaviour, market sentiment, tools and outlook.

The bearish demand read is unambiguous. But when the same agents were asked about their own revenue over the same period, the picture doesn’t match the doom.

Agents aren’t reporting proportional income collapse. Something is absorbing the shock, and the data points to how agents charge, not just how busy they are.

Fixed fees are the shock absorber

76% of respondents now charge a fixed fee rather than a percentage-based commission. That’s a structural shift, not a pricing tweak.

A percentage-based agent is directly exposed to falling prices and falling transaction volume: fewer and cheaper purchases mean proportionally less income. A fixed-fee agent is insulated from both.

If you charge $15,000 flat to find and secure a property, that fee doesn’t move whether the market is soft or booming, and it doesn’t shrink if median prices ease. This is almost certainly the single biggest reason revenue has held firmer than sentiment suggests it should.

Practical example: an agent charging 2% commission on a $900,000 purchase earns $18,000. If the same agent’s market softens and the average purchase drops to $750,000, commission income falls to $15,000, a 17% hit for the same amount of work. A fixed-fee agent charging $15,000 flat earns exactly the same either way.

Referrals are carrying the business, and that’s a risk, not just a strength

84% of agents report their client base is overwhelmingly repeat or referral-based.

In a down market, this is a genuine advantage: referral clients convert faster, trust the agent going in, and are less price-sensitive than cold leads.

But it’s also the sector’s biggest exposure. An industry running on referrals isn’t running on marketing, it’s running on goodwill built over years.

When 8 in 10 clients arrive this way, agents have little visibility into, or control over, their next twelve months of pipeline. It explains why lead generation keeps surfacing as the industry’s top-of-mind frustration even while current revenue looks stable.

The regulation question is now a majority view

More than half of surveyed agents believe the profession needs stricter regulation. That’s a notable shift for an industry built on independence and personal reputation.

Read alongside the fee and referral data, it looks less like agents inviting red tape and more like a profession aware that trust is its only real asset, and wanting the floor raised so bad actors can’t undercut the agents actually doing the work properly.

What this means for the next 12 months

The data points to a profession quietly re-engineering itself around resilience: fixed fees to smooth revenue, referral networks to protect client quality, and a growing appetite for regulation to protect the value of the credential itself.

Demand may keep softening. The agents who’ve already made these structural shifts look positioned to absorb it. The ones still on percentage fees and cold-lead generation are the ones who should be paying closest attention to this data, not dismissing it as a down-market story.