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Mixed market conditions for tenants and investors for 2018: Domain rental report

Key data findings

  • Sydneyย median unit rental prices drop from the price peak by $5, falling back below median house rental prices for the first time in six months
  • House rental prices inย Melbourneย rise 1.2 per cent over the quarter, hitting a new high
  • House rental prices remain steady over the quarter inย Sydney,ย Brisbaneย andย Perth
  • Hobartย has strongest annual growth in house rental prices on record, surging 12.9 per cent
  • Both unit and house rental prices rise inย Canberraย andย Hobart
  • Canberra,ย Darwin, andย Hobartย deliver strongest unit yields for investors
  • Brisbane,ย Darwin,ย Hobartย deliver strongest house yields for investors

Domainย December Rental Report

Median weekly asking rents graph (QTR on QTR). Source: Domain

Rental prices for the December quarter demonstrated that Australiaโ€™s capital city markets are operating on different property cycles, as Sydney unit rental prices ease slightly, while Canberra and Hobart markets continue to grow, according toย Domainโ€™s quarterly Rental Report.

“Prices in Australia’s rental market are mixed, with varying levels of population growth, residential construction and investor activity producing different market conditions across the nation’s capital cities,

โ€œThere were diverse changes in median rental prices across the capital cities over the quarter. While many markets held steady, there were also capitals with a growth in median asking rental prices. Canberra and Hobart, two cities at opposite ends of the affordability spectrum, saw the greatest price growth. Even though thereโ€™s a distinct gap in their median rental prices, itโ€™s clear that tenants in both cities are facing a competitive rental market,โ€ saidย Domainย Data Scientist, Dr Nicola Powell.

Rental yields

For investors, Hobart continues to provide the best gross rental yields for houses with 5.34 per cent recorded over the December quarter. Sydney and Melbourne continue to record the lowest gross rental yields for houses of all capital cities, sitting at 3.08 per cent and 3.20 per cent respectively.

Canberra is the top performer for gross unit rental yields, recording a result of 5.80 per cent over the quarter, closely followed by Darwin at 5.67 per cent and Hobart at 5.52 per cent.

Capital city markets

Sydney

Source: Domain

Median weekly rental prices for units in Sydneyโ€™s competitive rental market decreased over the quarter, with median rental prices falling 0.9 per cent to $545 per week. The $5 drop makes unit rental prices lower than house rental prices for the first time in two quarters. Despite the quarterly decline, median unit rental prices are 4.8 per cent higher than the same time last year.

Median house rental prices remained steady over the quarter at $550 per week. House rental prices have seen no price movement for three quarters and have grown only 1.9 per cent year-on-year.

โ€œIf investor activity continues to decline in Sydney it could tighten the rental market in 2018. However, the value of building completions is reaching a high, providing a boost to unit rental stock.

โ€œThe trend is likely to continue over the coming months, as stock from off-the-plan sales comes onto the market. This could provide tenants with a greater choice in certain pockets of Sydney,โ€ saidย Domainย Data Scientist, Dr Nicola Powell.

Melbourne

Source: Domain

Median weekly house rental prices gained 1.2 per cent over the December quarter and 3.7 per cent year on year, to a new record high of $425 per week.

Median unit rental prices in Melbourne have increased 5.3 per cent annually to $400 per week, and remained steady over the quarter. A difference of $25 now exists between house and unit rental prices, with price gains growing more rapidly for unit rental prices than house rental prices. If this rate continues, prices may eventually be on par, mirroring the trend previously seen in Sydney.

โ€œAs the impact of tighter investor lending continues to unfold it is likely to drive competition for available rental stock. The capitalโ€™s soaring population, spiked by all three population drivers (natural increase, overseas and interstate migration) and less available rental stock will put additional pressure on rental prices,โ€ saidย Domainย Data Scientist, Dr Nicola Powell.

Brisbane

Source: Domain

Brisbane house rental prices remained stable at $400 per week over the December quarter. It was the only capital city market with no change to house rental prices both over the quarter and over the last 12 months.

Median unit rental prices decreased 1.3 per cent over the year, however prices held steady over the quarter at $370 per week.

โ€œIt has been roughly half a decade since investors in Brisbane saw a significant growth in rental prices. Prices in the capital have continued to be impacted by high levels of unit development giving landlords little ground to raise rental prices,โ€ saidย Domainย Data Scientist, Dr Nicola Powell.

Adelaide

Source: Domain

Adelaideโ€™s median house rental prices grew 2.8 per cent over the December quarter and the year, reaching $370 per week. The quarterly growth was the first gain for Adelaide house rental prices following three quarters of prices holding steady.

Median unit rental prices in Adelaide remained flat over the December quarter, at $295 per week. Adelaide is the most affordable rental market of all the capital cities, despite a 1.7 per cent gain year-on-year.

โ€œAdelaide continues as a relatively steady market, with units delivering stable returns for investors in the market. Available house stock has now tightened for three consecutive quarters providing a short term pressure and growth in median rental prices,โ€ saidย DomainData Scientist, Dr Nicola Powell.

Perth

Source: Domain

Median house rental prices in Perth held steady this quarter at $350 per week. The median rental price fell 5.4 per cent over the year, but the rate of decline is now easing.

Median unit rental prices were also stable over the December quarter, at $300 per week. The median has now held flat for four consecutive quarters, which is the longest period of quarterly stability in Perthโ€™s rental price history (recorded since 2004).

โ€œPerth continues to be one of the nationโ€™s most affordable rental markets and was the only capital city with an annual decline in house rental prices.

โ€œWhile falling rental prices have become the norm over recent years, the rental market has begun to show signs of transitioning conditions, with hefty declines in rental prices no longer being recorded in Perthโ€™s unit market. Investors in the capital have also seen an annual growth in rental yields for houses,โ€ saidย Domainย Data Scientist, Dr Nicola Powell.

Canberra

Source: Domain

House rental prices in Canberra increased 5.9 per cent over the quarter to reach a new record of $540 per week. Prices are 8.0 per cent higher than this time last year, making the nationโ€™s capital the second strongest market for house rental prices growth.

Canberra was one of the two capital cities with growth in median unit rental prices over both the quarter and year, up 2.4 per cent to $430.

โ€œThe healthy quarterly gain in Canberra has helped to push up gross rental yields for units to 5.80 per cent, the highest yielding output of all the capital cities.

โ€œAffordability remains a key issue for Canberra tenants. It is the third most expensive capital city for house rental prices and second for units. If stricter investor lending hits rental stock in the year ahead, it could lead to a further growth of rental prices in an already expensive market,โ€ saidย Domainย Data Scientist, Dr Nicola Powell.

Hobart

Source: Domain

Over the December quarter, Hobart median house rental prices had the highest rate of growth on record for the city. House rental prices increased 6.8 per cent over the quarter and 12.9 per cent year-on-year to $395 per week. This is an astounding $45 increase compared to the same time last year.

Hobart was the only capital city to reach double-digit annual growth in house and unit rental prices. Median unit rental prices grew 6.3 per cent over the quarter and a whopping 13.3 per cent annually, to $340 per week.

โ€œHobart currently has strong levels of migration and not enough rental supply to keep pace. Investors are reaping the highest gross rental yields for houses out of all the capital cities at 5.34 per cent and the third best for units at 5.52 per cent, falling just behind Canberra and Darwin,โ€ saidย Domainย Data Scientist, Dr Nicola Powell.

Darwin

Source: Domain

Darwinโ€™s rental market had a strong quarter of growth in house rental prices, with an increase of 5.8 per cent, setting median weekly rental prices at $550. This growth makes Darwin, alongside Sydney, the most expensive city in which to rent a house in Australia.

Median unit rental prices grew 3.8 per cent over the quarter to $415, with units in Darwin producing the second highest rental yields of all the capital cities at 5.67 per cent. ย Overall, unit rental prices for the capital city have fallen, decreasing 5.7 per cent over the year.

โ€œEconomic health, investment and population fluctuations have a large impact on the Darwin rental market. This quarter, house rental prices had the strongest growth rate in five years. Units continue to provide high yielding outputs for investors and in the year ahead, itโ€™s likely we will see unit supply levels continue to affect unit values and gross yields,โ€œ saidย Domainย Data Scientist, Dr Nicola Powell.

Source
Domain.com.au
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